We read everything.
Hundreds of curated sources — Telegram channels, wires, X — ingested continuously, de-duplicated, translated. Twenty languages.
Live beta · Explainable, traceable news intelligence
Understand what each story means — and what to do about it. Convicta ties the news to the Polymarket markets it moves, every link traceable to a clear rule.
Building in the open — join our Discord and help shape the beta.
Join our Discord ↗Inside today — live in beta
Across both products — Convicta News (open beta) and Polymarket Pulse (public alpha). The trader, whale, insider and resolution tools live in Pulse.
Follow your favourite traders and whales: every trade they make, with live P&L, renameable, one tap to configure.
Alert on any market you care about: price levels, TP/SL-style triggers, resolution lifecycle, news that touches it.
UMA lifecycle with dispute-window countdowns.
Fresh and dormant wallets betting big.
Over a thousand Polymarket markets in the graph — each story lands with the implied side and the resolution deadline, by explicit rule.
Hot wallets, books, related markets.
Everything you didn't need in the moment, compressed to one card — sliced to your topics and positions. Twenty languages, your schedule, your rubrics. AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
Why Convicta
Convicta is built the opposite way. It reduces both a news event and a market to explicit relationships — who did what to whom — and connects them only when those relationships line up. Hundreds of sources, ingested, de-duplicated and translated; every item traces back to the exact rule that surfaced it. The analytical picture, not a firehose.
We curate up to ~500,000 news items a day across every source — and filter them down to what matters for you.
Summaries
Every story ships with a tight AI summary — what happened and why it matters, in a few lines. Skip the 3,000-word reads. Summaries are AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
Global coverage
News from every region — ingested continuously, translated and delivered to you in the language you choose. Twenty languages today, more coming. Automatic translation is AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
The signal path
Hundreds of curated sources — Telegram channels, wires, X — ingested continuously, de-duplicated, translated. Twenty languages.
The matcher connects each story to the specific prediction market it moves — by explicit rule, with the implied side and the resolution deadline. Every match is traceable.
One card: the headline, the market it moves, and the on-chain context — plus the exact reason it matched, so you decide with the evidence in front of you.
Real-time, and getting faster
Alerts on markets, prices, traders, whales and resolutions stream live today over websockets — you get them the moment they happen. The news-to-market matching that names the market currently runs on a batch cadence, and we're actively pushing it toward real-time. We lead with auditability, so we don't publish a matching-accuracy number yet — every match still traces to an explicit rule you can inspect.
In development
Set your rules — markets, sides, position caps, stop-loss, take-profit — and let the agent act on the signal for you. Twenty years too early for everyone who tried it; AI agents just made it real. The beta is live and welcomes early users — they get first access.
Automation executes your rules. It does not promise returns. Not financial advice.
The wire — live beta
We value your feedback
We're onboarding our first users to make the product better — tell us what's wrong and what's missing. We lead with auditability and traceability because those are properties you can verify today; we don't publish an accuracy percentage until it's measured on a labeled benchmark. The AI-assisted surfaces — summaries, translations, the Edge read — are metered and may be paused during the beta. Matching can still be wrong, especially on breaking stories; Convicta gives you the news background, and the decision to enter a market is always yours.
The matching engine
A hand-built graph over the active Polymarket universe: entities, relationships, numeric brackets and counter-evidence logic. Every match unifies a news relationship with a market's required one — so you can see exactly why it fired. No language model makes the live decision.
Smart-money context
Follow any wallet with live P&L, insider-pattern flags, hot-wallet discovery and a UMA resolution radar — confirmation attached to every headline.
Live beta
[Breaking story headline appears here]
[Whale context: recent large trades in this market appear here]
"The whole world
— Donald Trump
became a casino."
Built by two founders who trade Polymarket daily and got tired of being late.
Chrome extension · beta
Install the extension and polymarket.com grows a new layer: live alerts, matched news and AI Edge — on the exact page where you trade. Signed in with your Pulse account, streaming over a real-time socket.
Your Alerts — whale moves, followed-trader trades and price triggers land in a sidebar or bell dropdown the second they fire. Real-time push, unread badge, optional sound.
Every market shows the stories that touched it plus the AI Edge estimate — per-leg for multi-outcome markets, recomputed against the live price, with a «why?» rationale.
A one-line control under the market title: set a threshold in percentage points and get pinged when price moves that far. No tab-watching.
Any profile gets cash & positions value, the genuinely-latest trade with side, outcome and execution price — and a follow bar with a min-$ filter.
A topbar 📰 with the freshest stories across the markets you watch, sit in or follow traders into — deduped, translated, one click from source.
On list pages a quiet dot marks markets our news engine already covers — so you know where the signal is before you click.
About Edge: it’s an AI-computed estimate of a market’s fair value — generated by our models, not a hand-set number. It gets more accurate as our models and data improve, and it’s an additional metric that may help you make a decision on prediction markets. Edge is not financial advice — the decision is yours.
Coming to the Chrome Web Store
Questions
A news-to-market intelligence service for prediction markets. It reads hundreds of sources — Telegram, wires and RSS, X — matches each story to the Polymarket market it affects by explicit rule, and delivers it with a short summary and on-chain context. Two products on one engine: Convicta News (open beta) and Polymarket Pulse (public alpha).
Convicta News is the general beta: a personal, multi-source news feed, open to everyone and free for your first two months. Polymarket Pulse takes the same engine and turns news into signals about the Polymarket markets it moves — it's a public alpha and built for people who already trade on Polymarket. They're two separate Telegram Mini Apps; use either or both.
Not yet. Today it's signal and intelligence. Automated execution of your rules — with stop-loss and take-profit — is on the roadmap and clearly labeled "coming soon" everywhere it appears.
No, and run from anyone who says otherwise. When execution ships, it automates your rules; it does not promise returns.
Alerts apps notify you about on-chain events. We start one step earlier — the news that causes the move — and connect it to the market, plus the on-chain context. A different layer of the stack.
Alerts on markets, prices, traders, whales and UMA resolutions are real-time today — they stream live over websockets the moment they happen. The news-to-market matching that names the market currently runs on a batch cadence, and we're actively improving it toward real-time. On accuracy, we lead with auditability: every match traces to an explicit rule you can inspect, and we don't publish a matching-accuracy figure until it's measured on a labeled benchmark. Treat Convicta as your analytical news layer, not an oracle.
Today Convicta is optimized for Telegram and runs as a Telegram App (beta), plus a web version in your browser. Native Android and iOS apps are on the roadmap.
Both products are free for your first two months during the beta. After that, Convicta News is free or News+ at $6/mo ($60/yr); Polymarket Pulse is a public alpha — Pulse Pro $12/mo ($120/yr) and Pulse Edge $20/mo ($200/yr), which includes News+. Annual plans give you 2 months free. Details on the pricing page.
No. Convicta never manages or touches your funds — no keys, no trades, no access. Adding a wallet is purely a convenience feature to subscribe to alerts about that wallet: any address works, even an empty one; we only read public data. Future auto-trading features will be opt-in with their own explicit terms.
Polymarket first. Kalshi and other venues are on the roadmap.
News delivery supports twenty languages today; the website interface is available in eleven. Automatic translation is AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
News & updates
Subscribe for product news and updates — launches, new features, market intel.
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